
The Buffalo Bulls look like the early favorites in the MAC East
Mid American Conference basketball is fighting to stay relevant on its own campuses, in its own region, and in the greater college basketball world with scarce resources and a fast diminishing profile. The presence of FBS football has caused all of the 12 all sport member institutions to place an emphasis on fielding viable D1 football programs which is a very expensive undertaking. As a result of this conference wide emphasis on prioritizing football MAC basketball has slipped considerably over the last decade while conferences that were once considered peers have excelled. Fans of the CAA, WAC, MVC, or Horizon would be insulted if they were considered peers of the now lowly MAC.
In 1999 Miami reached the Sweet 16 behind the efforts of future NBA player Wally Szczerbiak, in 2002 Kent State made it to the elite 8 with players like Trevor Huffman and Antonio Gates, the MAC was arguably the class of the mid majors during its peak in the 90’s. In 1995, 1998, and 1999 the MAC had multiple NCAA bids. During that decade the conference had a very respectable 9 NCAA tournament wins. Guys were leaving the MAC and having decent careers in the NBA. Guys like Grant Long, Gary Trent, Wally Szczerbiak, and Bonzi Wells.
After Indiana ended Kent State’s magical run in 2002, Central Michigan came along with a NCAA tournament win in 2003 lead by another future pro Chris Kamen. Since then however the MAC has not had a player taken in the NBA draft, won an NCAA tournament game or even sniffed a 2nd bid. The MAC is now a one bid league with a falling seed line, dwindling fan support, and no resources available to commit to the problem. In 2007 a 26 win Akron team that won the MAC regular season title, and only failed to win the tournament title after Miami hit a 30 ft bank shot as time expired in the championship game failed to even get a bid to the NIT.
I mention the downturn in MAC basketball for two reasons: 1.) It shows that this is a real underdog league 2.) To illustrate that this is a common problem that is being suffered through by every MAC program. There us no powerhouse basketball school in the MAC who can carry the conference. In fact this conference has more parody than any in college basketball. While Kent State and Akron have had the most recent success, neither has the resources to put any distance between themselves and the field and both have to start from scratch every season to fight their way through the pack and try to emerge as the MAC’s lone NCAA representative. This is the most wide open race in college hoops this year, and because of the tough spot that these schools are in one of the most worthwhile and I am going to try to keep everyone in touch with what is going on as best I can.
To start with every team has played 3 games, and all we know so far is that: Toledo is really terrible, playing on one’s home court is the biggest determining factor in being successful in the MAC, non conference play was a meaningless indicator, and everybody still has a chance to be dancing in March (except Toledo). The way the MAC operates is pretty slick. There are two divisions East and West with 6 teams in each. Each team plays the other 5 teams in their division, then plays 6 cross divisional games before finishing the season playing the 5 inter divisional teams again. Last year the East was so much stronger than the West that no team from the West had a record better than 2-4 against the East, and three teams failed to beat a team from the East at all. This year there looks to be more parity between the two but that really won’t be determined for another two weeks when the teams start facing one another.
So far Northern Illinois has jumped out on top of the West with a 3-0 record despite having only won 4 games in the non conference. Western Michigan and Central Michigan are right behind at 2-1. NIU has the only non Toledo road win of any team in the West winning at Ball State. That so far is the difference in division. It looks like a race between those 3 teams although Eastern Michigan now has legitimate low post monster Justin Dobbins back from injury and should improve gradually as the season progresses as long as they stay healthy. I had the opportunity to watch Dobbins first game back against Toledo last week where he went off with 18 and 4 against the Rockets. They were a different team than the one I saw in Kalamazoo four days earlier when they only managed to score 47 against the Broncos.
Over in the East Buffalo has jumped out to a 3-0 start with wins over BG, Miami, and Akron. Last years champ Akron is right behind at 2-1 along with a 5-11 overall Miami club that always seems to improve as the year goes on under the coaching of possible vampire Charlie Coles. Kent State at 1-2 and Ohio at 0-3 are in the cellar right now but both could bounce back and be right back near the top once they start plowing through the weaker West. The east race is usually more fickle and harder to handicap this early in the year.
So thats where we are right now. I’m going to try and get out to the Eastern Michigan/Ball State game this weekend and regularly post about the MAC race as the year goes on.
The games of the week that promise to have the biggest impact on the standings are:
East
Kent State @ Buffalo 1/20
If the Bulls are able to win and get a 3 game cushion between themselves and perineal contender Kent State then they are in the drivers seat for at least the next month. If Kent State is able to win then they can muddy the waters and turn the East into a week by week struggle for supremacy.
West
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 1/23
After dispatching of Toledo mid week NIU is likely to roll into Mt. Pleasent at 4-0 in conference. If CMU wants to contend for the division then they are going to have take care of business at home. Otherwise NIU stands poised to sweep through their first round of games with the West.